Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from February 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$135.90 Published $168.52 Target $137.80 Window close $162.40 Peak
$128.00 – $138.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$135.90Published — price the day we called it
$168.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$162.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$137.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$162.40
peak on March 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$137.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
February 7, 2026 – May 8, 2026

The thesis — published February 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$168.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$128.00 – $138.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$135.90
published February 7, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent analyst praise and a new Cognizant partnership give Palantir short-term reasons for people to buy. These headlines can spark quick interest, but the stock moves a lot on news, so expect sharp swings. A cautious plan is to buy gradually on small pullbacks and sell some into quick rallies to lock in gains.

Primary drivers

  • Cognizant deal makes real-world AI use in healthcare more likely
  • Big-name analyst coverage can bring new buyers and attention
  • AI-focused money flows can push the stock higher quickly
  • A clear entry band helps limit downside and manage swings

How it played out

PLTR: target stayed out of reach

Lyra published PLTR at 135.90 on 2026-02-07 with a short-term thesis for 24% growth. The thesis pointed to analyst praise, a new Cognizant partnership, artificial intelligence money flows, and a 128 to 138 entry band as reasons the stock could draw quick interest despite sharp swings.

Inside the window, PLTR rose to 162.40 on 2026-03-24, a 19.5% peak gain. It stayed below the 168.52 target and never reached it. By 2026-05-08, it ended at 137.80. The thesis partially played out because the stock rallied hard, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On 2026-05-05, MarketWatch reported that Palantir posted first-quarter revenue of $1.63 billion, up 85% year over year, and adjusted earnings of 33 cents a share. The article also reported that shares fell 2.7% in after-hours trading.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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