Track record · closed signal

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) — closed signal from February 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LRCX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$231.01 Published $272.59 Target $294.05 Window close $298.00 Peak
$224.00 – $235.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$231.01Published — price the day we called it
$272.59Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$298.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$294.05Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 66 days.

Peak price
$298.00
peak on May 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$294.05
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
66
Window
February 7, 2026 – May 8, 2026

The thesis — published February 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$272.59
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$224.00 – $235.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$231.01
published February 7, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Lam Research looks like a short-term trade tied to the wider chip equipment group. Tech stocks bounced recently and that lift tends to help big, liquid chip names even without company news. The plan is to buy on small pullbacks and let the move continue, but expect price swings and avoid buying right after large up days.

Primary drivers

  • A broad tech rebound can push chip-equipment stocks higher quickly
  • Strong trading volume helps execute trades more smoothly in active names
  • Buying pullbacks aims to join a resumption of the recent upward move
  • Near-term gains depend mainly on the sector regaining momentum

How it played out

LRCX: target reached in 66 days

On February 7, Lyra published a short-term LRCX thesis at $231.01 with 18% expected growth. The thesis pointed to a broad tech rebound, strong trading volume, buying small pullbacks, and sector momentum in chip equipment. It also warned that the trade could swing around and should not be chased after large up days.

Inside the window, LRCX reached the $272.59 target in 66 days. It peaked at $298 on May 7, a 29% gain. It ended the window on May 8 at $294.05. The thesis played out and then went past the target.

What happened during the window

On April 22, 2026, Lam Research reported fiscal third-quarter results for the quarter ended March 29, with adjusted earnings of $1.47 per share and revenue of $5.84 billion. On May 5, 2026, Investor's Business Daily reported that LRCX reached a record high intraday after that earnings report and outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.