Track record · closed signal

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 7, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ASM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$10.15 Published $13.40 Target $6.90 Window close $10.94 Peak
$9.80 – $10.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$10.15Published — price the day we called it
$13.40Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$10.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$6.90Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 24% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$10.94
peak on February 9, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+7.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$6.90
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 7, 2026 – May 8, 2026

The thesis — published February 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+32%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.40
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$9.80 – $10.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$10.15
published February 7, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Avino is a higher-risk short-term trade tied to a stronger silver market. Recent reports show better sentiment across silver miners, which can lift this stock. It pulled back recently and now looks like a chance to buy a dip and aim for a rebound. Expect big price swings; use modest position sizes and avoid chasing sharp rallies.

Primary drivers

  • Bigger silver demand mood helps miners recover faster
  • Recent drop makes a cheaper short-term buy opportunity
  • Rising interest in other silver miners can lift this stock
  • Large price swings can create bigger short-term gains

How it played out

ASM: the target was not reached

Lyra published ASM at 10.15 on 2026-02-07 as a short-term, higher-risk silver-miner trade. The thesis expected 32% growth to 13.40. It pointed to a stronger silver-market mood, a recent pullback, interest in other silver miners, and large price swings that could create bigger short-term gains.

Inside the 2026-02-07 to 2026-05-08 window, ASM rose quickly but only reached 10.94 on 2026-02-09, a 7.8% peak gain. It stayed below the target. By the end of the window it was 6.90. The thesis partially played out on the early bounce, but it missed the target and ended lower.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.