Track record · closed signal

FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) — closed signal from February 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FORM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$90.29 Published $117.38 Target $144.68 Window close $159.09 Peak
$86.00 – $92.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$90.29Published — price the day we called it
$117.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$159.09Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$144.68Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 60 days.

Peak price
$159.09
peak on April 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+76.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$144.68
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
60
Window
February 7, 2026 – May 8, 2026

The thesis — published February 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$117.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$86.00 – $92.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$90.29
published February 7, 2026
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

FormFactor just reported stronger-than-expected results and management now expects higher revenue and better profit margins soon, driven by demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and data-center testing. These earnings beats can keep the stock elevated for a few weeks; buying on small pullbacks into support is safer than chasing big up-days because swings can be sharp.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings beat creates momentum for several weeks
  • Demand for HBM and data-center tests drives growth
  • Overall chip sector optimism helps keep buyers interested
  • Clear support range lets you set disciplined risk limits

How it played out

FORM: target reached in 60 days

Lyra published FORM at $90.29 on 2026-02-07 with expected growth of 30%. The thesis pointed to stronger-than-expected results, higher expected revenue and better profit margins, demand for high-bandwidth memory and data-center testing, chip-sector optimism, and a support range from $86 to $92.

Inside the window from 2026-02-07 to 2026-05-08, FORM reached the $117.38 target in 60 days. The stock peaked at $159.09 on 2026-04-24, a 76.2% gain. It ended the window at $144.68. The published thesis played out and went beyond the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.