Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 6, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 7, 2026 — -27.6% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 70% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 6, 2026
Avino is a way to bet on rising silver prices, but it moves quickly. Analysts and recent industry write-ups have been highlighting Avino, which brings more investor interest. The stock has pulled back sharply, so a rebound over the next few months is possible. Use small, staged buys because metal prices can flip gains into losses fast.
Primary drivers
- Strong interest in silver keeps miners in focus
- Industry write-ups singled out Avino for attention
- Big recent pullback makes a rebound more likely
- Company profits swing a lot with metal prices
How it played out
ASM: thesis partially played out, but target was missed
Lyra published ASM at $9.47 on 2026-02-06 for a short-term window ending 2026-05-07. The thesis expected 22% growth and pointed to strong interest in silver, industry write-ups that singled out Avino, a sharp pullback that made a rebound possible, and profits that could swing with metal prices.
Inside the window, ASM rose quickly. It peaked at $10.94 on 2026-02-09, a 15.5% gain, but it stayed below the $11.55 target. It never got there. By 2026-05-07, it ended at $6.86. The thesis partially played out, then faded before the window closed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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