Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 6, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 7, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 70% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 6, 2026
Avino is a way to bet on rising silver prices, but it moves quickly. Analysts and recent industry write-ups have been highlighting Avino, which brings more investor interest. The stock has pulled back sharply, so a rebound over the next few months is possible. Use small, staged buys because metal prices can flip gains into losses fast.
Primary drivers
- Strong interest in silver keeps miners in focus
- Industry write-ups singled out Avino for attention
- Big recent pullback makes a rebound more likely
- Company profits swing a lot with metal prices
How it played out
ASM: thesis partially played out, but target was missed
Lyra published ASM at $9.47 on 2026-02-06 for a short-term window ending 2026-05-07. The thesis expected 22% growth and pointed to strong interest in silver, industry write-ups that singled out Avino, a sharp pullback that made a rebound possible, and profits that could swing with metal prices.
Inside the window, ASM rose quickly. It peaked at $10.94 on 2026-02-09, a 15.5% gain, but it stayed below the $11.55 target. It never got there. By 2026-05-07, it ended at $6.86. The thesis partially played out, then faded before the window closed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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