Track record · closed signal

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. (GILT) — closed signal from February 5, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GILT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$18.89 Published $21.53 Target $20.07 Window close $20.56 Peak
$18.00 – $19.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$18.89Published — price the day we called it
$21.53Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$20.56Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$20.07Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 63% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$20.56
peak on May 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$20.07
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 5, 2026 – May 6, 2026

The thesis — published February 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.53
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$18.00 – $19.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$18.89
published February 5, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Gilat is a small company that just won a clear contract for its SkyEdge platform, which makes future work and revenue more visible. The satellite industry overall has poor sentiment right now, so that could keep the stock from jumping higher. Trading is thin, so be careful with big orders; wait for the price to settle and buy on drops.

Primary drivers

  • SkyEdge contract gives visible future work and revenue
  • More VHTS and multi-orbit projects are growing customer demand
  • Negative industry sentiment can hold back stock upside
  • Low liquidity can cause big price swings; use patient limit buys

How it played out

GILT: thesis partially played out but missed the target

Lyra published GILT on 2026-02-05 at 18.89 for a short-term window ending 2026-05-06. The thesis expected 14% growth. It pointed to a SkyEdge contract that gave visible future work and revenue, more VHTS and multi-orbit demand, weak industry sentiment that could hold back upside, and low liquidity that could cause big price swings.

Inside the window, GILT rose but did not reach 21.53. The peak was 20.56 on 2026-05-05, with an 8.8% gain. It never got there. The stock ended at 20.07 on 2026-05-06. Verdict: the thesis partially played out, but the target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.