Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 5, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 6, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 54% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 5, 2026
ASM is a mining stock that tends to move fast when silver and gold rise. Silver ran strong in late January, drawing short-term money into miners even though individual stocks stay bouncy. The recent drop creates a chance to buy a pullback instead of chasing higher prices. Because metal prices can reverse, use smaller position sizes and treat this as a short swing trade over the next three months.
Primary drivers
- Silver strength in late January lifted interest in miners
- Mining stocks can swing more than the metal itself
- The dip gives a cheaper entry without chasing gains
- Frequent commodity reversals mean smaller positions and active exits
How it played out
ASM: target was not reached
Lyra published ASM at $10.07 on February 5, 2026, with 16% expected growth over a short-term window ending May 6, 2026. The thesis pointed to silver strength in late January, interest in miners, a pullback into the entry zone, and the risk that commodity reversals could make the trade bouncy.
Inside the window, ASM peaked at $10.94 on February 9, 2026, for an 8.7% gain. That stayed below the $11.68 target. It never got there. The stock ended the window at $6.81. The thesis partially played out early, then missed by the close.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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