Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 5, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 6, 2026 — -32.3% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 54% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 5, 2026
ASM is a mining stock that tends to move fast when silver and gold rise. Silver ran strong in late January, drawing short-term money into miners even though individual stocks stay bouncy. The recent drop creates a chance to buy a pullback instead of chasing higher prices. Because metal prices can reverse, use smaller position sizes and treat this as a short swing trade over the next three months.
Primary drivers
- Silver strength in late January lifted interest in miners
- Mining stocks can swing more than the metal itself
- The dip gives a cheaper entry without chasing gains
- Frequent commodity reversals mean smaller positions and active exits
How it played out
ASM: target was not reached
Lyra published ASM at $10.07 on February 5, 2026, with 16% expected growth over a short-term window ending May 6, 2026. The thesis pointed to silver strength in late January, interest in miners, a pullback into the entry zone, and the risk that commodity reversals could make the trade bouncy.
Inside the window, ASM peaked at $10.94 on February 9, 2026, for an 8.7% gain. That stayed below the $11.68 target. It never got there. The stock ended the window at $6.81. The thesis partially played out early, then missed by the close.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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