Track record · closed signal

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) — closed signal from February 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MUFG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$18.39 Published $20.23 Target $18.39 Window close $20.15 Peak
$17.90 – $18.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$18.39Published — price the day we called it
$20.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$20.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.39Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$20.15
peak on February 12, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$18.39
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 5, 2026 – May 6, 2026

The thesis — published February 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$20.23
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$17.90 – $18.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$18.39
published February 5, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

MUFG is a steady bank pick meant to balance riskier stocks. Recent results showed consistent profits and unchanged targets. News about banks funding large data-center projects hints at more fee and lending activity. The stock is not overheated, so buying small dips makes sense. Its low price swings let you use tighter risk limits and expect modest gains over a few months.

Primary drivers

  • Recent results show steady profits and the same targets
  • Stability of a big bank helps balance riskier holdings
  • Large funding deals can generate fees and lending growth
  • Calmer price action lets you set tighter risk limits

How it played out

MUFG: target was missed after a near reach

Lyra published MUFG on 2026-02-05 at 18.39 as a short-term bank pick with expected growth of 10%. The thesis pointed to steady profits, unchanged targets, the stabilizing role of a large bank, possible fee and lending activity from large funding deals, and calmer price action that allowed tighter risk limits.

Inside the window, MUFG rose to 20.15 on 2026-02-12, a peak gain of 9.5%. That stayed below the 20.23 target. It never got there. By 2026-05-06, the stock ended at 18.39, the same price as publication. The thesis partially played out on the early rise, but the target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.