Track record · closed signal

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (ADR) (MUFG) — closed signal from February 4, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 5, 2026 — -5.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

MUFG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$18.30 – $19.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$18.86Published — price the day we called it

$20.36Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$20.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$17.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 85% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

-5.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+6.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$17.76

last close inside the window, ended May 5, 2026

Peak price

$20.15

peak on February 12, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published February 4, 2026

Predicted growth

+8%

over the measurement window

Target price

$20.36

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$18.30 – $19.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$18.86

published February 4, 2026

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

MUFG showed small profit gains and confirmed its targets and dividend plan. That message of steadiness can draw investors looking for safer financial stocks. Over the next 0-3 months expect gradual upward movement rather than a fast jump. Buy on small dips and watch global interest rate moves or sudden drops in risk appetite; gains are likely modest but fairly stable.

Primary drivers

Confirmed targets and dividend plan give investors confidence
Being seen as stable can pull money from other sectors
Results are linked to changes in global interest rates
Less volatile than higher-risk banks and financials

How it played out

MUFG: the target was not reached

Lyra published MUFG at 18.86 on 2026-02-04. The thesis expected 8% growth over a short-term window, with gradual upward movement rather than a fast jump. It pointed to confirmed targets and a dividend plan, steadiness for investors looking at financial stocks, global interest-rate sensitivity, and lower volatility than higher-risk banks and financials.

Inside the window from 2026-02-04 to 2026-05-05, MUFG rose to 20.15 on 2026-02-12, a 6.8% peak gain. That stayed below the 20.36 target. It never got there. The signal ended at 17.76, so the thesis partially played out early but missed the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All MUFG signals