Track record · closed signal

TETRA Technologies, Inc. (TTI) — closed signal from February 3, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 4, 2026 — -24.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

TTI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$11.90 – $12.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$12.28Published — price the day we called it

$14.24Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$12.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$9.31Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 13% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-24.2%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+2.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$9.31

last close inside the window, ended May 4, 2026

Peak price

$12.54

peak on February 4, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published February 3, 2026

Predicted growth

+16%

over the measurement window

Target price

$14.24

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$11.90 – $12.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$12.28

published February 3, 2026

Confidence

65%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Peers in oilfield services posted strong results, which can lift smaller companies like TETRA when investors take more risk. But a large shareholder sale was reported, which can create extra shares for sale and make price moves choppy. This is a short-term trade around pullbacks; step back if the energy sector weakens or selling keeps up.

Primary drivers

Peer earnings lifted sector sentiment this week
Small energy services can rerate fast when activity holds
A reported shareholder sale increases short-term supply and volatility
Commodity and macro news can quickly change investor appetite

How it played out

TTI: the target was never reached

Lyra published TTI at $12.28 on February 3, 2026, with 16% expected growth and a $14.24 target for the short-term window. The thesis pointed to stronger peer earnings, faster rerating potential in small energy services, a reported shareholder sale that could add supply and volatility, and commodity or macro news that could change investor appetite.

Inside the window, TTI peaked at $12.54 on February 4, 2026, for a 2.1% gain. That stayed below the $14.24 target. It never got there. By May 4, 2026, the stock ended at $9.31. The thesis missed on the measured price outcome.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TTI signals