Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 3, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 4, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 28% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 3, 2026
A recent drill result and a raised price target to $12.50 are driving interest. In a busy gold and silver market, small miners can run fast but also drop quickly. In the next 0-3 months the plan is to follow the move if dips hold and trading stays heavy; if buying fades, expect a quick pullback.
Primary drivers
- Strong drill results and a $12.50 target lift interest
- Price swings in gold and silver can make small miners move more
- When lots more people are buying than usual, rallies can stretch
- High volatility means keep strict risk limits on pullbacks
How it played out
ASM: thesis missed the target inside the window
Lyra published ASM at $10.32 on 2026-02-03 with a short-term setup. The thesis expected 25% growth and pointed to drill results, a $12.50 price target, gold and silver price swings, heavy buying, and high volatility. The plan was to follow the move if dips held and trading stayed heavy.
Inside the 2026-02-03 to 2026-05-04 window, ASM peaked at $11.05 on 2026-02-04, a 7.1% gain. It stayed below the $12.90 target. It ended at $6.34. The thesis caught a brief early rise, but the full target was not reached. It missed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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