Track record · closed signal

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 3, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 4, 2026 — -38.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ASM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$9.80 – $10.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$10.32Published — price the day we called it

$12.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.05Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$6.34Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 28% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-38.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+7.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$6.34

last close inside the window, ended May 4, 2026

Peak price

$11.05

peak on February 4, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published February 3, 2026

Predicted growth

+25%

over the measurement window

Target price

$12.90

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$9.80 – $10.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$10.32

published February 3, 2026

Confidence

69%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

A recent drill result and a raised price target to $12.50 are driving interest. In a busy gold and silver market, small miners can run fast but also drop quickly. In the next 0-3 months the plan is to follow the move if dips hold and trading stays heavy; if buying fades, expect a quick pullback.

Primary drivers

Strong drill results and a $12.50 target lift interest
Price swings in gold and silver can make small miners move more
When lots more people are buying than usual, rallies can stretch
High volatility means keep strict risk limits on pullbacks

How it played out

ASM: thesis missed the target inside the window

Lyra published ASM at $10.32 on 2026-02-03 with a short-term setup. The thesis expected 25% growth and pointed to drill results, a $12.50 price target, gold and silver price swings, heavy buying, and high volatility. The plan was to follow the move if dips held and trading stayed heavy.

Inside the 2026-02-03 to 2026-05-04 window, ASM peaked at $11.05 on 2026-02-04, a 7.1% gain. It stayed below the $12.90 target. It ended at $6.34. The thesis caught a brief early rise, but the full target was not reached. It missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All ASM signals