Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from February 1, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$51.50 – $53.60Entry zone — fair-value band

$53.20Published — price the day we called it

$59.58Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$53.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 58% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+6.9%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$53.24

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

February 1, 2026 – May 2, 2026

The thesis — published February 1, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$59.58

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$51.50 – $53.60

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$53.20

published February 1, 2026

Confidence

75%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

BofA looks like a steadier bank to hold for the next 0-3 months because Washington talks about stablecoin rules could change how people feel about banks and crypto. BofA also revealed a bigger stake in Flutter, showing it is actively using its capital. The stock has been slowly climbing, so buying when it dips is the suggested approach.

Primary drivers

Policy talks on stablecoin rules can shift market mood
Big consumer and markets business benefits if risk appetite improves
Larger Flutter stake shows active use of capital
Price is forming a base-good to buy on routine dips

How it played out

BAC: target not reached in the window

Lyra published BAC at $53.20 on 2026-02-01 with 12% expected growth and a $59.58 target. The thesis pointed to stablecoin policy talks, a bigger Flutter stake, better risk appetite for consumer and markets activity, and a base that made routine dips the preferred entry.

Inside the window, BAC rose to $56.87 on 2026-02-06, a 6.9% peak gain. It stayed below the $59.58 target and never reached it. The stock ended at $53.24 on 2026-05-02. Verdict: the thesis partially played out, but the target missed.

What happened during the window

On 2026-04-15, Bank of America reported first-quarter profit and revenue above analyst estimates, with total revenue of $30.27 billion and equities revenue up 30%. The same report said the stock rose 2.6% in morning trading after the results.

Bank of America's 30% jump in equities revenue pushes stock toward a two-month high

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BAC signals