Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 31, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$51.50 – $53.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$53.20Published — price the day we called it

$57.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$53.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 77% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+6.9%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$53.24

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 31, 2026 – May 1, 2026

The thesis — published January 31, 2026

Predicted growth

+9%

over the measurement window

Target price

$57.99

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$51.50 – $53.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$53.20

published January 31, 2026

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America is presented as a steady, short-term Financials holding to buy when prices fall rather than chase higher moves. Recent updates are mostly about the banking sector, not BAC specifically, but they show big banks staying involved in programs that help consumers. BAC's results will track interest rates, loan quality, and overall market activity, so it's useful as a lower-volatility bank stake to add to if the sector weakens.

Primary drivers

Earnings come from both consumer banking and market businesses
A higher or steady interest rate backdrop can lift bank profits
Being a large bank helps with funding access and steadier operations
Set up to add on dips when macro conditions are choppy

How it played out

BAC: thesis partly played out, target was not reached

Lyra published BAC on 2026-01-31 at 53.2 with expected growth of 9% and a 57.99 target. The thesis pointed to a large bank with earnings from consumer banking and market businesses, possible support from steady or higher rates, stronger funding access, and a setup to add on dips when macro conditions were choppy.

Inside the window, BAC rose but stayed below the target. The peak was 56.87 on 2026-02-06, a 6.9% gain. It never got there. The window ended on 2026-05-01 at 53.24, close to the publication price. Verdict: the thesis partly played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-04-15, Bank of America reported first-quarter net income of $8.6bn, up from $7.4bn, and revenue growth of 7%. MarketWatch also reported on 2026-04-15 that total revenue was $30.27 billion and sales and trading revenue was $6.4 billion. These were company results during the window, not a stated cause of the share-price path.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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