Track record · closed signal

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) — closed signal from January 30, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

DIS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$108.00 – $113.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$112.36Published — price the day we called it

$128.09Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$112.95Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$103.75Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$112.95

peak on January 30, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+0.5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$103.75

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 30, 2026 – April 30, 2026

The thesis — published January 30, 2026

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$128.09

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$108.00 – $113.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$112.36

published January 30, 2026

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term, event-driven idea tied to Disney's earnings on Feb 2. If management calms concerns about streaming results and parks demand, the stock could rally over the next few months. The trade is risky and may be choppy into the report, so use small positions near support because earnings could cause a sudden big move.

Primary drivers

Earnings will show if streaming is becoming more profitable
Parks updates can quickly change near-term expectations
Strong brand makes the stock move fast on good news
Entering near support limits downside into the earnings event

How it played out

DIS: the target was never reached

Lyra published DIS on 2026-01-30 at $112.36, with a short-term target of $128.09 and expected growth of 14%. The thesis pointed to the Feb. 2 earnings event, streaming profitability, parks updates, brand strength, and an entry near support between $108 and $113.

Inside the window from 2026-01-30 to 2026-04-30, DIS peaked at $112.95 on 2026-01-30, a 0.5% gain. It never reached the target. The stock ended at $103.75. The thesis did not play out in price terms.

What happened during the window

On Feb. 2, 2026, Disney reported fiscal first-quarter results, including adjusted earnings of $1.63 per share and revenue of $25.98 billion. On the same date, AP reported that Disney cited strength from box-office releases and said its Experiences division was likely to see modest operating income growth in the second quarter.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All DIS signals