Track record · closed signal

National Energy Services Reunited Corp. (NESR) — closed signal from January 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NESR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$20.19 Published $23.22 Target $25.01 Window close $26.85 Peak
$19.50 – $20.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$20.19Published — price the day we called it
$23.22Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$26.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$26.85
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+33%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$25.01
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
January 29, 2026 – April 29, 2026

The thesis — published January 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$23.22
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$19.50 – $20.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$20.19
published January 29, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NESR gives investors a bigger-than-normal chance to benefit if oilfield work in the Middle East and North Africa picks up because UBS started coverage with a Buy and a $25 target. The stock looks oversold, but trading is light so buying carefully matters. If the whole sector stays strong, upgrades can push the price up quickly in 0-3 months. Major risks are big swings in commodity sentiment and days with wide price moves that make trades costly.

Primary drivers

  • New UBS Buy coverage can draw more investors and attention
  • Higher activity in MENA should increase demand for services
  • If energy services rally, NESR can catch up quickly
  • Thin trading means bigger price jumps, so size positions smaller

How it played out

NESR: target reached in 19 days

Lyra published NESR at $20.19 on 2026-01-29 with a short-term window through 2026-04-29. The thesis expected 15% growth. It pointed to new UBS Buy coverage, a $25 target from UBS, possible higher Middle East and North Africa activity, a broader energy-services rally, and thin trading that could make price moves larger.

Inside the window, NESR reached the $23.22 target in 19 days. The stock peaked at $26.85 on 2026-02-25, for a 33% gain. It ended the window at $25.01, still above the target. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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