Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$50.80 – $52.60Entry zone — fair-value band

$52.11Published — price the day we called it

$57.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$52.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+9.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$52.88

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 29, 2026 – April 29, 2026

The thesis — published January 29, 2026

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$57.32

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$50.80 – $52.60

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$52.11

published January 29, 2026

Confidence

76%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares look oversold after pressure from interest-rate moves, but the bank has plenty of cash and a steady business mix. It could bounce in the next few months if rates calm and investor appetite steadies. Scale in slowly and wait for signs that selling is fading. Main risks are more rate swings or worsening credit conditions.

Primary drivers

Plenty of cash and liquidity to handle short-term moves
Ongoing news keeps the stock visible to investors
Could rebound if interest-rate pressure eases
Less volatile business mix than high-growth names

How it played out

BAC: target stayed just out of reach

Lyra published BAC at 52.11 on 2026-01-29 with a short-term 10% expected gain and a 57.32 target. The thesis pointed to cash and liquidity, steady visibility with investors, a possible rebound if interest-rate pressure eased, and a less volatile business mix than high-growth names.

Inside the window, BAC rose quickly but did not reach the target. It peaked at 56.87 on 2026-02-06, with a 9.1% gain. It never got there. By 2026-04-29, it ended at 52.88, still above the publication price but below the target. The thesis partially played out.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, Bank of America reported first-quarter results. MarketWatch said profit and revenue rose more than expected, and equities revenue rose 30% to record levels. The Guardian reported the same day that profit grew 17% to $8.6bn.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BAC signals