Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 28, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 28, 2026 — +1.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$50.50 – $52.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$51.93Published — price the day we called it

$57.12Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$52.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 95% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+1.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+9.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$52.66

last close inside the window, ended April 28, 2026

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published January 28, 2026

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$57.12

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$50.50 – $52.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$51.93

published January 28, 2026

Confidence

71%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks like a steadier pick that may recover gradually. Recent headlines about employee benefits and AI spending make it more appealing, but the bank's price can swing with policy and economy news. Buying near the lower price range is safer than chasing gains if the economic outlook stays calm.

Primary drivers

Big, diversified bank with many ways to make money in normal markets
AI spending news makes investors more interested
Price could bounce back if economic headlines stay calm
Lower price swings help balance riskier holdings

How it played out

BAC: target was not reached by April 28

Lyra published BAC on January 28 at 51.93, with a short-term view for 10% growth. The thesis pointed to Bank of America's diversified business, lower price swings, possible investor interest from artificial intelligence spending news, and a possible rebound if economic headlines stayed calm.

Inside the window, BAC rose to 56.87 on February 6, a 9.5% peak gain. That stayed below the 57.12 target, so the target was never reached. The stock ended the window at 52.66 on April 28. The thesis mostly played out on direction, but it missed the stated target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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