Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from January 28, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$186.00 – $194.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$191.51Published — price the day we called it

$225.98Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$216.83Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$213.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 73% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$216.83

peak on April 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+13.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$213.17

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 28, 2026 – April 28, 2026

The thesis — published January 28, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$225.98

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$186.00 – $194.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$191.51

published January 28, 2026

Confidence

76%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is seen as the main way to invest in AI, and recent headlines about AI use in healthcare and rebuttals to negative talk have strengthened demand expectations. The stock has risen a lot, so it can fall quickly; the safer plan is to buy during a modest drop. If investors stay confident, gains could continue over the next few months.

Primary drivers

AI use is expanding across industries, including healthcare
Public rebuttals to negative talk help keep investor confidence
Strong data-center products keep customer demand steady
Buying on dips lowers the chance of buying at a high price

How it played out

NVDA: target was not reached in the window

Lyra published NVDA at 191.51 on 2026-01-28, with an expected growth of 18%. The target was 225.98. The thesis pointed to expanding artificial intelligence use across industries, public rebuttals to negative talk, strong data-center products, and buying on dips after a large prior rise.

Inside the 2026-01-28 to 2026-04-28 window, NVDA rose but did not reach the target. The peak was 216.83 on 2026-04-27, a 13.2% gain. It ended at 213.17. The thesis partially played out because the stock moved up, but the published target stayed out of reach.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-25, Nvidia reported quarterly sales of $68 billion and net income of $43 billion. On 2026-03-16, Nvidia announced the Vera Rubin Space Module for orbital data centers and space-based inference workloads.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals