Track record · closed signal

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from January 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ASM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$9.76 Published $10.93 Target $6.78 Window close $11.99 Peak
$9.10 – $9.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$9.76Published — price the day we called it
$10.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$11.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$6.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 1 day.

Peak price
$11.99
peak on January 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+22.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$6.78
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
1
Window
January 27, 2026 – April 27, 2026

The thesis — published January 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$10.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$9.10 – $9.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$9.76
published January 27, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Avino makes money from silver and gold. Recently gold has been rising and Avino reported stronger production, so traders are interested. In the next 0-3 months the stock could get bought because of metal prices, but miners can fall fast if metals cool. The safe plan is to wait for a pullback into the buy range rather than chasing strength.

Primary drivers

  • Rising gold and silver can attract buyers to the whole sector
  • Positive production news can keep interest in the stock
  • Higher volatility gives traders tactical exposure to big moves
  • Commodity rallies can push miners up quickly in risk-on periods

How it played out

ASM: target reached in 1 day

Lyra published ASM on 2026-01-27 at 9.76 for a short-term window ending 2026-04-27. The thesis expected 12% growth to 10.93. It pointed to rising gold and silver, stronger production, trader interest in volatile miners, and the risk that miners could fall fast if metals cooled.

Inside the window, ASM reached 11.99 on 2026-01-29. That was a 22.8% peak gain, and it reached the target in 1 day. The stock later ended the window at 6.78. The published target was reached quickly, but the move did not hold through the close. Verdict: the thesis played out on target timing, then reversed sharply.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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