Track record · closed signal

RTX Corp. (RTX) — closed signal from January 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RTX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$197.82 Published $217.60 Target $173.38 Window close $214.50 Peak
$193.00 – $200.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$197.82Published — price the day we called it
$217.60Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$214.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$173.38Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$214.50
peak on March 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$173.38
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
January 27, 2026 – April 27, 2026

The thesis — published January 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$217.60
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$193.00 – $200.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$197.82
published January 27, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares jumped after a stronger-than-expected earnings report and upbeat company comments. That reset can attract investors looking for steady cash flow and push the stock higher for several weeks. The downside is the usual post-earnings wobble and broader economic headlines; prefer buying on short dips and avoid chasing if demand cools.

Primary drivers

  • Better-than-expected earnings can raise short-term expectations
  • Stable demand from defense and aerospace supports revenue
  • Investors may shift into steady cash-generating industrials
  • Good trading liquidity helps manage positions around news

How it played out

RTX: target missed after an 8.4% peak

Lyra published RTX on 2026-01-27 at $197.82, with an entry zone of $193 to $200. The thesis expected 10% growth toward $217.60. It pointed to a stronger-than-expected earnings report, upbeat company comments, stable defense and aerospace demand, possible investor demand for steady cash-generating industrials, and good trading liquidity.

Inside the window, RTX rose but did not reach the target. The peak was $214.50 on 2026-03-03, a gain of 8.4%. It never got to $217.60. By 2026-04-27, it ended at $173.38. The thesis partly played out at first, then missed by the close.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-27, RTX reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.55 a share and sales of $24.2 billion, and gave a 2026 sales outlook of $92 billion to $93 billion. On the same date, Barron's reported that RTX closed at $201.28 after the earnings release.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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