Track record · closed signal

Zions Bancorporation, N.A. (ZION) — closed signal from January 26, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ZION price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$59.60 Published $69.13 Target $61.34 Window close $66.18 Peak
$57.50 – $60.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$59.60Published — price the day we called it
$69.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$66.18Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$61.34Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 69% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$66.18
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+11%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$61.34
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
January 26, 2026 – April 26, 2026

The thesis — published January 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$69.13
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$57.50 – $60.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$59.60
published January 26, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares pulled back hard and look positioned for a rebound in the next 0-3 months. Recent quarterly sales and profit beat expectations and a higher price target from a big bank improved buyer interest. If interest-rate outlook calms after the Fed decision, investor confidence in regional banks can return quickly; bad credit news could undo gains.

Primary drivers

  • Quarterly sales and profits beat estimates, supporting a re-rating
  • A big bank raised its price target, which can attract buyers
  • Interest-rate outlook will sway investor demand for regional banks
  • Strong earnings follow-through can kick off a quick rebound

How it played out

ZION: target missed after an 11% peak gain

Lyra published ZION on 2026-01-26 at 59.6 with a short-term rebound thesis. The call expected 16% growth. The thesis pointed to quarterly sales and profits beating estimates, a higher price target from a big bank, interest-rate outlook as a driver for regional-bank demand, and possible earnings follow-through.

Inside the window, ZION rose to 66.18 on 2026-02-06. That was an 11% peak gain, but it stayed below the 69.13 target. It never got there. The window ended on 2026-04-26 with the stock at 61.34. The thesis partially played out, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On 2026-04-20, Zions reported first-quarter profit of $232 million, or $1.56 a share. Net interest income was $662 million, and the shares fell 2% after hours to $61.80.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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