Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from January 25, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$160.00 – $170.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$169.60Published — price the day we called it

$203.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$170.59Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$143.09Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 3% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$170.59

peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+0.6%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$143.09

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 25, 2026 – April 25, 2026

The thesis — published January 25, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$203.52

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$160.00 – $170.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$169.60

published January 25, 2026

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir is a volatile AI software stock best used for a short-term rebound trade, not a permanent hold. Recent news-bigger roles in government and industry AI and a multiyear aviation partnership-keeps interest strong. Because the price swings a lot, wait for selling to calm and buy gradually over a few weeks to a few months.

Primary drivers

Deals with governments and industries keep demand visible
Partnerships open new commercial opportunities and visibility
High volatility can produce quick, sizable recoveries
Well-known AI brand keeps investor attention and credibility

How it played out

PLTR: the target was never reached

Lyra published PLTR at 169.6 on 2026-01-25 as a short-term rebound trade with 20% expected growth. The thesis pointed to visible demand from government and industry deals, new commercial opportunities from partnerships, high volatility, and investor attention around artificial intelligence software.

Inside the window, PLTR peaked at 170.59 on 2026-01-26, a 0.6% gain. That stayed below the 203.52 target, and the target was never reached. By 2026-04-25, it ended at 143.09. The thesis did not play out on price.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-02, Palantir reported fourth-quarter 2025 results. MarketWatch reported $1.41 billion of revenue and 25 cents of adjusted earnings per share. On 2026-02-03, The Guardian also reported that the company beat Wall Street expectations for that quarter.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All PLTR signals