Track record · closed signal

Walmart Inc. (WMT) — closed signal from July 19, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 17, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WMT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$94.64 Published $103.65 Target $107.51 Window close $109.36 Peak
$91.70 – $93.68Entry zone — fair-value band
$94.64Published — price the day we called it
$103.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$109.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$107.51Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 20 days.

Peak price
$109.36
peak on October 16, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$107.51
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
20
Window
July 19, 2025 – October 17, 2025

The thesis — published July 19, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$103.65
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$91.70 – $93.68
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$94.64
published July 19, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Walmart’s share price has slipped back to its recent average price even though grocery shoppers keep coming and its online advertising sales jumped 30%. A statistical report on 19 Jul called the stock attractive. If the shares can stay above about 93 dollars, they may climb toward 104 dollars in roughly three months, a potential 9% gain that could give investors a calm place to ride out the ups and downs of earnings season. The idea suits cautious investors seeking stability.

Primary drivers

  • A short-term momentum signal appears as the price returns to a long-term average.
  • Strong grocery sales and fast-growing advertising income balance weaker product profits.
  • A 19 Jul statistical study ranked Walmart as a trade with good odds of success.
  • Everyday goods sellers like Walmart often hold up better when the economy slows.

How it played out

WMT: target reached in 20 days

Lyra published WMT at $94.64 on 2025-07-19 with an expected gain of 10%. The thesis pointed to a short-term momentum signal, steady grocery demand, advertising income growth of 30%, a 2025-07-19 statistical study, and the defensive profile of everyday goods sellers.

Inside the window, WMT reached the $103.65 target in 20 days. The highest price was $109.36 on 2025-10-16, with a peak gain of 15.6%. It ended the window at $107.51. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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