Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from January 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$72.88 Published $77.25 Target $76.63 Window close $82.00 Peak
$71.50 – $73.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$72.88Published — price the day we called it
$77.25Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$82.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$76.63Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 10 days.

Peak price
$82.00
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$76.63
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
10
Window
January 24, 2026 – April 24, 2026

The thesis — published January 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+6%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.25
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$71.50 – $73.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$72.88
published January 24, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola acts like a steady, lower-risk holding over the next few months. Recent management changes aim to make the company more focused on customers and its digital tools, and the sugar-free segment is still doing well. After a recent strong run, the share price could pause, so it's best to look for small dips to buy. Expect gradual gains rather than a fast surge.

Primary drivers

  • Well-known brands let Coca-Cola keep steady sales and pricing
  • Growing sugar-free drinks are helping overall volume
  • New leaders and digital work could make operations smoother
  • Stable cash flow makes the stock less sensitive in downturns

How it played out

KO: target reached in 10 days

Lyra published KO at $72.88 with a short-term view for 6% expected growth. The thesis pointed to steady sales and pricing from well-known brands, growth in sugar-free drinks, new leaders and digital work, and stable cash flow. It expected gradual gains rather than a fast surge.

Inside the window, KO reached the $77.25 target in 10 days. It later peaked at $82.00 on 2026-02-27, with a 12.5% peak gain. The stock ended at $76.63 on 2026-04-24. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the target before settling lower.

What happened during the window

On February 10, 2026, The Wall Street Journal reported that Coca-Cola's fourth-quarter revenue rose 2% to $11.8 billion and that comparable earnings were 58 cents a share. The same article reported that CEO James Quincey said the company did not plan a major pricing reset.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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