Track record · closed signal

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) — closed signal from January 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LRCX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$217.94 Published $248.45 Target $267.78 Window close $275.84 Peak
$210.00 – $220.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$217.94Published — price the day we called it
$248.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$275.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$267.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 5 days.

Peak price
$275.84
peak on April 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+26.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$267.78
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
5
Window
January 24, 2026 – April 24, 2026

The thesis — published January 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$248.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$210.00 – $220.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$217.94
published January 24, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea: earnings season is moving money around the chip-equipment industry, so the stock could bounce if results are good. Some analysts say the share price already looks high, while others expect solid reports. Watch for the price to calm and then bounce from a reliable low, and sell into strength.

Primary drivers

  • Demand from chipmakers investing in advanced logic and memory tools
  • Quarterly reports and guidance can quickly change investor views
  • Money moving between sectors can create buying after drops
  • Existing customers create steady service and upgrade work

How it played out

LRCX: target reached in 5 days

Lyra published LRCX at $217.94 on January 24, 2026, with a short-term thesis for 14% expected growth. The thesis pointed to chipmaker demand for advanced logic and memory tools, quarterly reports and guidance, sector money flows after drops, and steady service and upgrade work from existing customers.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $248.45 target in 5 days. It later peaked at $275.84 on April 24, with a 26.6% peak gain. The window ended at $267.78. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.

What happened during the window

On January 29, 2026, Barron's reported that Lam Research had topped fiscal second-quarter earnings estimates and gave guidance above Wall Street expectations. On April 22, 2026, Investor's Business Daily reported that Lam Research beat fiscal third-quarter targets and gave a stronger outlook for the quarter ending June 28.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.