Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 23, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$50.00 – $52.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$51.84Published — price the day we called it

$59.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$52.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 69% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+9.7%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$52.47

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 23, 2026 – April 23, 2026

The thesis — published January 23, 2026

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$59.10

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$50.00 – $52.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$51.84

published January 23, 2026

Confidence

76%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea: the stock fell sharply with other big banks and may bounce back if investors feel safer. A recent bank note says the market might already expect good news, so upside isn't guaranteed. The plan is to buy in stages near support and add only after the price shows it can stop falling, reducing the chance of being caught in another drop.

Primary drivers

Price could rebound after a sharp drop in big banks
Diverse business lines can hold up if risk appetite returns
Analyst warning means wait for clear confirmation
Staggered buys limit exposure to fresh rate or credit news

How it played out

BAC: target missed after a partial rebound

Lyra published BAC on 2026-01-23 at 51.84 as a short-term idea with expected growth of 14% and a target of 59.1. The thesis pointed to a possible rebound after a sharp drop in big banks, support from diverse business lines if risk appetite returned, and a need to wait for confirmation because upside was not guaranteed.

Inside the window, BAC rose but did not reach the target. It peaked at 56.87 on 2026-02-06, a 9.7% gain, then finished the window at 52.47 on 2026-04-23. The thesis partly played out. It never got there.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-27, The Wall Street Journal reported that Bank of America agreed to pay $72.5 million to settle an Epstein-related lawsuit. On 2026-04-15, MarketWatch reported that Bank of America released first-quarter results, including revenue of $30.27 billion and a 30% rise in equities revenue.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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