Track record · closed signal

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) — closed signal from January 22, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SWKS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$61.18 Published $69.75 Target $61.77 Window close $64.22 Peak
$61.50 – $58.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$61.18Published — price the day we called it
$69.75Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$64.22Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$61.77Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 36% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$64.22
peak on February 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$61.77
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
January 22, 2026 – April 22, 2026

The thesis — published January 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$69.75
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$61.50 – $58.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$61.18
published January 22, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea tied to Skyworks reporting results on Feb 3. The stock could bounce if the semiconductor group stays strong before earnings, but moves may be quick and risky. Use small positions, buy only on pullbacks into the entry range, and re-evaluate once the company reports. Main risks are weak guidance or a sharp drop after the report.

Primary drivers

  • The Feb 3 report can make traders reposition and move the stock quickly
  • Overall chip industry tone has been more positive ahead of results
  • If handset demand steadies, it helps Skyworks sales and outlook
  • Earnings events can cause fast gains or fast losses for short-term trades

How it played out

SWKS: the thesis stayed below target

On Jan. 22, Lyra published a short-term SWKS thesis from 61.18 with expected growth of 14% and a target of 69.75. The thesis pointed to the Feb. 3 report, a more positive chip industry tone, steadier handset demand, and the chance that earnings events could move the stock quickly in either direction.

Inside the Jan. 22 to Apr. 22 window, SWKS reached a peak of 64.22 on Feb. 11. That was a 5% gain, but it stayed below the 69.75 target. It never got there. The stock ended the window at 61.77. The thesis partially played out, not enough to reach the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.