Track record · closed signal

T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) — closed signal from July 19, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 17, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TMUS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$225.30 Published $256.91 Target $228.20 Window close $259.36 Peak
$221.22 – $224.17Entry zone — fair-value band
$225.30Published — price the day we called it
$256.91Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$259.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$228.20Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 32 days.

Peak price
$259.36
peak on August 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$228.20
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
32
Window
July 19, 2025 – October 17, 2025

The thesis — published July 19, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$256.91
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$221.22 – $224.17
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$225.30
published July 19, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This looks like a good moment to step in because the stock has fallen sharply just before its 24 July results, making the $225-$228 range attractive for dip-buyers. Analysts see earnings of $2.69 per share and healthy customer growth ahead. If regulators stay open to future deals and airwave purchases, the price could rebound toward $260 once results are out. The pullback seems more about short-term trading than business trouble, giving long-term investors a possible entry window.

Primary drivers

  • Recent selling looks overdone, so a quick price bounce is likely.
  • 24 July earnings should show solid profits and more phone customers.
  • Few customers leave, so average monthly revenue stays strong and steady.
  • Government mood favors future telecom deals, which could boost growth.

How it played out

TMUS: target reached in 32 days

Lyra published TMUS at $225.30 on 2025-07-19. The thesis expected 15% growth toward $256.91. It pointed to recent selling as overdone, a possible bounce after 24 July results, solid profits, more phone customers, low customer departures, steady average monthly revenue, and a friendlier government mood for telecom deals and airwave purchases.

Inside the window, TMUS reached $259.36 on 2025-08-20. That was above the $256.91 target, with a peak gain of 15.1%. The target was reached in 32 days. By 2025-10-17, the stock ended at $228.20. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 23, 2025, Barron's reported that T-Mobile posted second-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.84 a share on revenue of $21.13 billion and raised full-year postpaid net customer guidance to 6.1 million to 6.4 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TMUS signals