Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) — closed signal from January 22, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$333.00 Published $372.96 Target $339.32 Window close $349.00 Peak
$336.00 – $322.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$333.00Published — price the day we called it
$372.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$339.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 40% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$339.32
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
January 22, 2026 – April 22, 2026

The thesis — published January 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$372.96
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$336.00 – $322.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$333.00
published January 22, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is a big, established internet company that recently pulled back but remains in a long-term uptrend. A Raymond James upgrade and $400 target may draw buyers and steady sentiment. The suggested plan is to buy small dips in the entry zone and watch for a move back toward recent highs as AI and cloud growth support results. Main risks are regulatory action and broad valuation weakness in large tech.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst upgrade and $400 target can bring short-term buyers
  • Large search and ads business gives steady cash flow and resilience
  • AI and cloud momentum may support valuation into earnings
  • High liquidity in a mega-cap makes dip buying easier

How it played out

GOOGL: target was not reached

Lyra published GOOGL at $333 on Jan 22 with an expected 12% move and a $372.96 target. The thesis pointed to a Raymond James upgrade and $400 target, steady cash flow from search and ads, artificial intelligence and cloud momentum into earnings, and high liquidity that could make dip buying easier.

Inside the window, GOOGL rose to $349 on Feb 3, a 4.8% peak gain. It stayed below the $372.96 target and never got there. The stock ended at $339.32 on Apr 22. The thesis partly played out because the price rose, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On Feb 4, 2026, Android Central reported that Alphabet released Q4 2025 results, with $113.83 billion in revenue and Google Cloud revenue of $17.66 billion. It also reported planned 2026 capital expenditures of $175 billion to $185 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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