Track record · closed signal

Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) — closed signal from January 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ANET price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$143.14 Published $164.61 Target $177.73 Window close $178.48 Peak
$145.00 – $136.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$143.14Published — price the day we called it
$164.61Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$178.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$177.73Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 85 days.

Peak price
$178.48
peak on April 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+24.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$177.73
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
85
Window
January 22, 2026 – April 22, 2026

The thesis — published January 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$164.61
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$145.00 – $136.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$143.14
published January 22, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Arista sells advanced equipment that helps big cloud and AI customers move data faster. Recent reports show more customers using its Spectrum-X products and more sales tied to NVIDIA networking, and growth-focused funds are adding to demand. Because the stock can swing quickly, buying during small drops is safer than chasing big moves.

Primary drivers

  • More companies buying Spectrum-X gear to handle AI data traffic
  • Growth-focused funds adding shares increases short-term demand
  • Cloud providers upgrading data centers drives steady orders
  • Buying on dips lowers the chance of paying too much in volatile moves

How it played out

ANET: target reached in 85 days

Lyra published ANET on 2026-01-22 at $143.14 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth and a $164.61 target. The thesis pointed to demand for data-center networking tied to artificial intelligence traffic, Spectrum-X adoption, NVIDIA-related networking sales, cloud data-center upgrades, fund demand, and buying during smaller drops instead of chasing volatile moves.

Inside the window, ANET reached a $178.48 peak on 2026-04-22. That was above the $164.61 target, with a 24.7% peak gain. The target was reached in 85 days. The stock ended at $177.73, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-13, Investor's Business Daily reported that Arista's fourth-quarter results topped Wall Street targets and that the company raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 25%. The same report said artificial-intelligence-related sales were expected to double.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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