Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 22, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 22, 2026 — +0.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$53.00 – $50.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$52.90Published — price the day we called it

$59.25Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$53.12Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 63% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+0.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+7.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.5%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$53.12

last close inside the window, ended April 22, 2026

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published January 22, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$59.25

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$53.00 – $50.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$52.90

published January 22, 2026

Confidence

81%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock dropped sharply and is likely to bounce back over the next few weeks because banks reported better-than-expected results overall. That lifts confidence in the sector and makes a short-term rebound more likely. Watch for signs selling has eased and be ready to act, but beware interest-rate swings or bad credit news.

Primary drivers

Better bank earnings lift investor confidence for big banks
Recent heavy selling raises chance of a short-term rebound
Calmer expectations about rates help bank profits and valuation
Plenty of trading activity makes short-term trades easier

How it played out

BAC: rebound started but target was not reached

Lyra published BAC at $52.90 on 2026-01-22 with a short-term rebound thesis and expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to better bank earnings, recent heavy selling, calmer rate expectations, and strong trading activity as reasons a bounce was more likely.

Inside the window, BAC rose to a peak of $56.87 on 2026-02-06, a 7.5% gain. That stayed below the $59.25 target, and the target was never reached. The stock ended the window at $53.12. The thesis partially played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-29, Business Insider reported that a federal judge allowed part of an Epstein victims' lawsuit against Bank of America to proceed. On 2026-03-27, The Wall Street Journal reported that Bank of America agreed to pay $72.5 million to settle an Epstein-related lawsuit.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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