Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 21, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$52.65 Published $57.91 Target $53.48 Window close $56.87 Peak
$50.50 – $53.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$52.65Published — price the day we called it
$57.91Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$53.48Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$56.87
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$53.48
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
January 21, 2026 – April 21, 2026

The thesis — published January 21, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$57.91
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$50.50 – $53.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$52.65
published January 21, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America is getting attention from recent quarterly results and analysts, which keeps investors focused on it. The price has pulled back, so this is not a rush to buy: wait for signs that selling is settling and buyers return. If the dip holds, the stock could slowly move higher over the next few months while benefiting from improved capital-markets activity.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst coverage and earnings talk keep investors focused on the stock
  • Gets exposure to a recovery in deal-making and consumer banking activity
  • Big bank balance sheet and cash make swings less volatile
  • Recent pullback could reverse if downside holds and buyers step in

How it played out

BAC: thesis rose but target was not reached

Lyra published BAC at $52.65 on 2026-01-21 with expected growth of 10%. The thesis pointed to analyst coverage and earnings talk, exposure to a recovery in deal-making and consumer banking activity, a big bank balance sheet and cash, and a recent pullback that could reverse if downside held and buyers returned.

Inside the window from 2026-01-21 to 2026-04-21, BAC rose to a peak of $56.87 on 2026-02-06, a gain of 8%. The target was $57.91. It never got there. The stock ended at $53.48. The thesis partly played out, but the target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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