Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from January 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 19, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.41 Published $40.60 Target $41.71 Window close $48.31 Peak
$33.00 – $35.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.41Published — price the day we called it
$40.60Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.31Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$41.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

Peak price
$48.31
peak on March 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+40.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$41.71
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
39
Window
January 19, 2026 – April 19, 2026

The thesis — published January 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$40.60
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$33.00 – $35.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.41
published January 19, 2026
Confidence
85%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources looks like a shorter-term trade with clearer reasons to buy than many fast-moving stocks. The company is cutting interest costs by paying off $600M of expensive debt, which helps fund buybacks and dividends. If natural gas and NGL demand improves, profits could rise. It also adds energy exposure if tech stocks wobble.

Primary drivers

  • Paying $600M of expensive debt lowers interest costs and frees cash
  • Buybacks and dividends return cash to shareholders and attract steady buyers
  • Exposure to natural gas and NGL means profits can rise if demand improves
  • Energy stock helps diversify if technology stocks become more volatile

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 39 days

Lyra published RRC on 2026-01-19 at $34.41 as a short-term energy trade with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to $600M of expensive debt being paid down, lower interest costs, buybacks and dividends, exposure to natural gas and NGL demand, and diversification if technology stocks became more volatile.

Inside the window from 2026-01-19 to 2026-04-19, the stock reached the $40.60 target in 39 days. It later peaked at $48.31 on 2026-03-27, with a peak gain of 40.4%. It ended at $41.71, still above the target. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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