Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from January 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$350.44 Published $399.50 Target $398.47 Window close $399.68 Peak
$338.00 – $352.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$350.44Published — price the day we called it
$399.50Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$399.68Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$398.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 90 days.

Peak price
$399.68
peak on April 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$398.47
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
90
Window
January 16, 2026 – April 16, 2026

The thesis — published January 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$399.50
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$338.00 – $352.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$350.44
published January 16, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom sells chips and software used in data centers, so it benefits if companies spend more on AI hardware. Recent headlines point to stronger demand for AI-related chips and factory results that help the whole sector. Short-term the stock can move with broad market sentiment, so buying on pullbacks or after clear renewed buying is safer.

Primary drivers

  • AI demand lifting networking and custom chips
  • Revenue mix includes semiconductors and infrastructure software
  • Positive foundry results and investment news boost sentiment
  • Using disciplined entry points reduces timing risk

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 90 days

Lyra published AVGO on 2026-01-16 at $350.44, with expected growth of 14% and a target of $399.5. The thesis pointed to artificial intelligence demand lifting networking and custom chips, a revenue mix of semiconductors and infrastructure software, positive foundry results and investment news, and disciplined entry points.

Inside the window, AVGO reached a peak of $399.68 on 2026-04-16. That was 14.1% above the publication price and above the target. It reached the target in 90 days. The stock ended at $398.47, still just under the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-04, Broadcom reported fiscal first-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.05 a share on sales of $19.31 billion. It also forecast fiscal second-quarter revenue of $22 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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