Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from January 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$346.97 Published $395.55 Target $396.72 Window close $397.08 Peak
$340.00 – $350.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$346.97Published — price the day we called it
$395.55Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$397.08Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$396.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 90 days.

Peak price
$397.08
peak on April 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$396.72
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
90
Window
January 15, 2026 – April 15, 2026

The thesis — published January 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$395.55
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$340.00 – $350.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$346.97
published January 15, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom makes chips and enterprise software used in data centers, so it can benefit from more AI computing. A new 25% tariff on AI chips caused worry, but exemptions for data-center and AI uses mean demand may not fall as much as feared. The stock is forming a base; consider buying on weakness and add later if the price action clearly improves.

Primary drivers

  • Growing need for AI hardware in data centers supports chip and networking sales
  • Tariff exemptions for data-center uses lessen the chance of a big demand drop
  • The stock is forming a base, so accumulate in stages rather than chase moves
  • Exposure to chips and infrastructure software gives multiple paths to revenue growth

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 90 days

Lyra published AVGO on 2026-01-15 at 346.97, with 14% expected growth. The thesis pointed to growing need for artificial intelligence hardware in data centers, tariff exemptions for data-center uses, a base-forming stock setup, and exposure to both chips and infrastructure software.

Inside the window, AVGO reached a peak of 397.08 on 2026-04-15. That was above the 395.55 target, and the target was reached in 90 days. The stock ended at 396.72, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-04, Broadcom reported fiscal first-quarter adjusted earnings of 2.05 per share on revenue of 19.31 billion and guided fiscal second-quarter revenue to 22 billion. On 2026-04-15, Investor's Business Daily reported that Broadcom had announced an expanded Meta partnership for custom artificial intelligence processors.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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