Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from January 15, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 15, 2026 — +1.2% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 20 days.
The thesis — published January 15, 2026
This is a short-term trade around the Jan 21 earnings report. The stock could move quickly after results, and some analysts say shares look cheaper than their valuation models, which draws value-minded buyers. Because this is not a sustained uptrend, buys should be tight and tied to how the stock reacts to the report; a brief rally over the next 0-3 months is possible if results match expectations.
Primary drivers
- Jan 21 earnings may cause a fast price re-evaluation
- Analyst reports saying shares look cheap draw value buyers
- Bank results and interest-rate sensitivity can swing the stock
- Using tight entry limits risk around the event
How it played out
ONB: target reached in 20 days
Lyra published ONB on 2026-01-15 at $23.08 as a short-term trade with 12% expected growth. The thesis pointed to the Jan 21 earnings report, analyst views that shares looked cheap, bank results, interest-rate sensitivity, and tight entry limits around the event.
Inside the window, ONB reached the $25.85 target. It peaked at $26.17 on 2026-02-06, with a 13.4% peak gain, and reached the target in 20 days. By 2026-04-15 it ended at $23.36. The thesis played out, though the move did not hold through the end of the window.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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