Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from January 15, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 15, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 20 days.
The thesis — published January 15, 2026
This is a short-term trade around the Jan 21 earnings report. The stock could move quickly after results, and some analysts say shares look cheaper than their valuation models, which draws value-minded buyers. Because this is not a sustained uptrend, buys should be tight and tied to how the stock reacts to the report; a brief rally over the next 0-3 months is possible if results match expectations.
Primary drivers
- Jan 21 earnings may cause a fast price re-evaluation
- Analyst reports saying shares look cheap draw value buyers
- Bank results and interest-rate sensitivity can swing the stock
- Using tight entry limits risk around the event
How it played out
ONB: target reached in 20 days
Lyra published ONB on 2026-01-15 at $23.08 as a short-term trade with 12% expected growth. The thesis pointed to the Jan 21 earnings report, analyst views that shares looked cheap, bank results, interest-rate sensitivity, and tight entry limits around the event.
Inside the window, ONB reached the $25.85 target. It peaked at $26.17 on 2026-02-06, with a 13.4% peak gain, and reached the target in 20 days. By 2026-04-15 it ended at $23.36. The thesis played out, though the move did not hold through the end of the window.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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