Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from January 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$20.16 Published $24.59 Target $21.53 Window close $32.04 Peak
$18.80 – $20.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$20.16Published — price the day we called it
$24.59Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$32.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$21.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 9 days.

Peak price
$32.04
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+59%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$21.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
9
Window
January 14, 2026 – April 14, 2026

The thesis — published January 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$24.59
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$18.80 – $20.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$20.16
published January 14, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic tends to move a lot when silver prices jump. Recent headlines about record silver prices and a planned sale of the Del Toro asset give the stock a near-term lift. Miners can fall quickly after big runs, so this is a short-term momentum idea for a few weeks to months. Buy only on controlled pullbacks and use tight stop rules.

Primary drivers

  • Record silver price headlines help investor mood
  • Planned Del Toro sale improves balance sheet story
  • Stock moves strongly with metal price swings
  • Big recent gains increase chance of sharp pullbacks

How it played out

AG: target reached in 9 days

Lyra published AG at 20.16 on 2026-01-14 as a short-term momentum idea. The thesis expected 22% growth and pointed to record silver price headlines, a planned Del Toro sale, the stock's sensitivity to metal price swings, and the risk of sharp pullbacks after big gains.

Inside the window, AG reached the 24.59 target in 9 days. It later peaked at 32.04 on 2026-02-27, with a 59% gain at the high. By 2026-04-14 it ended at 21.53. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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