Track record · closed signal

Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) — closed signal from January 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 13, 2026 — +20.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ANET price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$121.00 – $128.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$125.69Published — price the day we called it

$148.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$152.14Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$152.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 14 days.

At window close

+20.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+21%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-0.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$152.02

last close inside the window, ended April 13, 2026

Peak price

$152.14

peak on April 13, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published January 13, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$148.31

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$121.00 – $128.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$125.69

published January 13, 2026

Confidence

71%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Arista is priced for a quick rebound over the next few weeks because its share price fell too far, while demand for networking gear tied to AI growth remains strong. A recent analyst upgrade can bring more buyers. The stock may still be choppy until it shows a clear, higher short-term bottom, so add gradually and use stops.

Primary drivers

Analyst upgrade drew fresh buyer interest
Strong demand from AI-focused data centers
Recent selloff creates room for a rebound
Getting back above short-term averages may attract buyers

How it played out

ANET: target reached in 14 days

Lyra published ANET on 2026-01-13 at $125.69 as a short-term rebound setup. The thesis expected 18% growth to $148.31. It pointed to a recent analyst upgrade, demand for networking gear tied to artificial intelligence-focused data centers, room for a rebound after a selloff, and the chance that a move back above short-term averages could attract buyers.

Inside the 2026-01-13 to 2026-04-13 window, ANET reached the $148.31 target in 14 days. It later peaked at $152.14 on 2026-04-13, with a peak gain of 21%. It ended at $152.02. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On February 13, 2026, Investor's Business Daily reported that Arista had reported fourth-quarter results after the prior close and raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook. On January 22, 2026, Investor's Business Daily reported that fourth-quarter earnings were due on February 12.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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