Track record · closed signal

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — closed signal from January 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CSCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$74.59 Published $82.05 Target $82.35 Window close $88.19 Peak
$72.00 – $75.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$74.59Published — price the day we called it
$82.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$88.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$82.35Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

Peak price
$88.19
peak on February 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$82.35
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
21
Window
January 13, 2026 – April 13, 2026

The thesis — published January 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$82.05
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$72.00 – $75.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$74.59
published January 13, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock looks beaten down and may bounce back in the short term. Recent news highlights its steady dividend and owners focused on environmental and social criteria, which can keep buyers around. However, a Supreme Court appeal about alleged abuses creates risk of sudden bad headlines. Start small, wait for a clear rebound day, and cut losses fast if it fails.

Primary drivers

  • Dividend payments and ESG-focused owners can steady demand after news
  • Stock looks beaten down and could get a short-term bounce
  • Customers tend to stay, so revenue is fairly steady over time
  • Ongoing legal headlines are the chief risk to the stock

How it played out

CSCO: target reached in 21 days

Lyra published CSCO at 74.59 on 2026-01-13, with 10% expected growth and an 82.05 target for a short-term window. The thesis pointed to dividend payments and ESG-focused owners, a beaten-down setup that could bounce, steady revenue from sticky customers, and legal headlines as the main risk.

Inside the window, CSCO reached the target in 21 days. It peaked at 88.19 on 2026-02-10, a 18.2% gain. By 2026-04-13, it ended at 82.35, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-11, Cisco reported fiscal second-quarter results with $15.3 billion in revenue and adjusted earnings of $1.04 per share. The company also raised its quarterly dividend to 42 cents per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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