Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from January 12, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$174.00 – $182.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$180.91Published — price the day we called it

$208.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$182.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$128.06Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 6% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$182.50

peak on January 12, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+0.9%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$128.06

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 12, 2026 – April 12, 2026

The thesis — published January 12, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$208.05

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$174.00 – $182.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$180.91

published January 12, 2026

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

A big bank upgraded Palantir and raised its price target to $235 on Jan 12, which can draw more attention and buying interest. Given this, the best short-term approach is to buy when the stock pulls back into a reasonable range instead of chasing sudden price jumps. The main risk is if the stock falls below the current consolidation band.

Primary drivers

Bank upgrade and $235 target can attract more buyers
Growing use of Palantir software by companies and governments helps sales
Market leaders often stay favored when overall market is healthy
Consolidation gives a clear area to limit losses

How it played out

PLTR: target was not reached

Lyra published PLTR on Jan. 12 at $180.91 with a short-term setup and 15% expected growth. The thesis pointed to a big bank upgrade and a $235 price target, wider use of Palantir software by companies and governments, market leaders staying favored when the market was healthy, and consolidation as the area for limiting losses.

Inside the Jan. 12 to Apr. 12 window, the stock peaked at $182.50 on Jan. 12, a 0.9% gain. That stayed below the $208.05 target, so the target was never reached. It ended at $128.06. The published thesis missed.

What happened during the window

On Feb. 2, 2026, Palantir reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.41 billion and earnings per share of $0.25. MarketWatch also reported that Palantir forecast fiscal 2026 revenue between $7.18 billion and $7.20 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All PLTR signals