Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from January 9, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$317.32 Published $364.92 Target $313.02 Window close $348.48 Peak
$310.00 – $318.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$317.32Published — price the day we called it
$364.92Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$348.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$313.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 65% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$348.48
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$313.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
January 9, 2026 – April 9, 2026

The thesis — published January 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$364.92
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$310.00 – $318.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$317.32
published January 9, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE Aerospace could lead the industrial group over the next 0-3 months if the aerospace recovery continues and investors shift back into defense and industrial names. New interest comes from converting engines for data-center power, which could open another sales avenue. Risk: investors expect strong results after the rally, so earnings could cause quick moves; prefer buying pullbacks rather than chasing headlines.

Primary drivers

  • A steady cycle of service work and deliveries keeps investors interested
  • Converting engines for data-center power creates a new sales opportunity
  • When tech cools, big industrial names often get more attention and money
  • High expectations before earnings increase the chance of big short-term swings

How it played out

GE: thesis rose partway, target was not reached

Lyra published GE at 317.32 on January 9, 2026, with expected growth of 15% and a target of 364.92. The thesis pointed to service work and deliveries, engine conversions for data-center power, a possible shift back into defense and industrial names, and the risk of sharp earnings moves after a rally.

Inside the window, GE rose to 348.48 on February 25. That was a 9.8% peak gain, but it stayed below the target. It never got there. By April 9, it ended at 313.02. The thesis partially played out on direction, then faded before the window closed.

What happened during the window

On January 22, 2026, GE Aerospace reported fourth-quarter results. MarketWatch reported net profit of $2.85 billion, revenue of $12.72 billion, and orders of $27 billion. The same article said the stock fell that day after an early move higher.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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