Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — closed signal from January 8, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 8, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 20 days.
The thesis — published January 8, 2026
TI looks like a short-term trade into the January 27 earnings because the stock fell more than the overall market. Recent news from CES shows TI is involved in clean-energy storage projects, which could help perception. The chip industry has been uneven, so the companys forecast will likely move the price. Momentum is getting better, but earnings could make the stock jump up or down. Prefer buying on dips and keep position sizes small before results.
Primary drivers
- Earnings on Jan 27 will likely move the stock near term
- CES coverage raises TIs profile in power and energy uses
- Exposure to industrial and auto markets helps if demand recovers
- Overall chip market swings mean be conservative with size
How it played out
TXN: target reached in 20 days
Lyra published TXN on January 8 at 186.69 as a short-term trade with 10% expected growth and a 205.36 target. The thesis pointed to January 27 earnings as the main near-term event, CES coverage around power and energy uses, industrial and auto exposure if demand recovered, and chip market swings as a reason to keep sizing conservative.
Inside the January 8 to April 8 window, TXN reached the target in 20 days. It peaked at 231.32 on February 11, a 23.9% gain. It ended at 199.74, below the target but above the publication price. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On January 27, 2026, Texas Instruments reported fourth-quarter revenue of $4.42 billion and earnings of $1.27 a share, and guided first-quarter revenue to $4.5 billion at the midpoint. On February 4, 2026, Axios reported that Texas Instruments agreed to buy Silicon Laboratories for $7.5 billion in cash.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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