Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 8, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$54.75 – $56.25Entry zone — fair-value band

$55.90Published — price the day we called it

$61.49Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$51.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 17% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$56.87

peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+1.7%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$51.88

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 8, 2026 – April 8, 2026

The thesis — published January 8, 2026

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$61.49

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$54.75 – $56.25

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$55.90

published January 8, 2026

Confidence

67%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares could bounce in the next few months because opinions about the bank disagree. One firm lowered their view while another raised its price target and expects momentum next year. The stock has already fallen enough that a rebound is possible if the banking sector steadies. But earnings and other bank updates can move the price suddenly, so be careful.

Primary drivers

Different analysts moving in opposite directions can push big, quick trades
Bank shares react strongly to interest rates and credit conditions
Price has fallen enough that a recovery rally is likely if sentiment improves
Earnings headlines can quickly change the stock's short-term path

How it played out

BAC: the 10% target was not reached

Lyra published BAC at 55.90 on January 8, 2026, with a short-term 10% growth call and a 61.49 target. The thesis pointed to split analyst views, rate and credit sensitivity in bank shares, a possible rebound after the stock had fallen, and earnings headlines that could quickly change the path.

Inside the window, BAC peaked at 56.87 on February 6, a 1.7% gain. It stayed below the target. By April 8, it ended at 51.88. The thesis partially played out only in the sense that there was a small early rise. The target was missed.

What happened during the window

On January 14, 2026, Bank of America reported adjusted earnings of 98 cents a share on revenue of $28.4 billion, above the cited estimates of 96 cents and $27.8 billion. The company also said revenue growth was 7%.

Bank of America's CEO says he's bullish on the U.S. economy as earnings edge past expectations

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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