Track record · closed signal

GameStop Corp. (GME) — closed signal from January 7, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 7, 2026 — +6.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GME price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$20.50 – $22.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$21.72Published — price the day we called it

$26.06Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$25.93Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$23.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 97% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+6.3%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+19.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-4.1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$23.08

last close inside the window, ended April 7, 2026

Peak price

$25.93

peak on February 2, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published January 7, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$26.06

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$20.50 – $22.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$21.72

published January 7, 2026

Confidence

60%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea with big headline risk. The company announced a CEO pay plan that only pays if big market-value and profit goals are met, and it includes stock options near $20.66 that shareholders must approve. That news can quickly attract attention and buying, but prices can swing fast, so only a small, controlled buy on a pullback makes sense.

Primary drivers

CEO pay plan could drive fresh buying interest
Strong retail interest can push price up quickly
News events mean prices can move sharply, manage size
Treat as a short-term trade, not a long-term holding

How it played out

GME: the target was not reached

Lyra published GME at $21.72 on January 7, 2026 as a short-term trade idea. The thesis expected 20% growth. It pointed to the CEO pay plan, options near $20.66, possible retail buying interest, and the chance of sharp moves around news. It also framed the setup as short term, with controlled size.

Inside the window, GME rose to $25.93 on February 2, a 19.4% peak gain. The target was $26.06. It never got there. By April 7, it ended at $23.08. The thesis nearly played out on price, but it missed the published target.

What happened during the window

On March 25, 2026, MarketWatch reported that GameStop had disclosed a $131.6 million loss on digital assets in its 2025 annual report. The same report said fiscal fourth-quarter sales fell 14% to $1.1 billion, while earnings per share rose to 49 cents from 30 cents.

GameStop's move to add bitcoin as a treasury asset turns 1. It hasn't paid off yet.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GME signals