Track record · closed signal

GameStop Corp. (GME) — closed signal from January 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GME price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$21.72 Published $26.06 Target $23.08 Window close $25.93 Peak
$20.50 – $22.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$21.72Published — price the day we called it
$26.06Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$25.93Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$23.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$25.93
peak on February 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$23.08
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
January 7, 2026 – April 7, 2026

The thesis — published January 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.06
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$20.50 – $22.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$21.72
published January 7, 2026
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea with big headline risk. The company announced a CEO pay plan that only pays if big market-value and profit goals are met, and it includes stock options near $20.66 that shareholders must approve. That news can quickly attract attention and buying, but prices can swing fast, so only a small, controlled buy on a pullback makes sense.

Primary drivers

  • CEO pay plan could drive fresh buying interest
  • Strong retail interest can push price up quickly
  • News events mean prices can move sharply, manage size
  • Treat as a short-term trade, not a long-term holding

How it played out

GME: the target was not reached

Lyra published GME at $21.72 on January 7, 2026 as a short-term trade idea. The thesis expected 20% growth. It pointed to the CEO pay plan, options near $20.66, possible retail buying interest, and the chance of sharp moves around news. It also framed the setup as short term, with controlled size.

Inside the window, GME rose to $25.93 on February 2, a 19.4% peak gain. The target was $26.06. It never got there. By April 7, it ended at $23.08. The thesis nearly played out on price, but it missed the published target.

What happened during the window

On March 25, 2026, MarketWatch reported that GameStop had disclosed a $131.6 million loss on digital assets in its 2025 annual report. The same report said fiscal fourth-quarter sales fell 14% to $1.1 billion, while earnings per share rose to 49 cents from 30 cents.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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