Track record · closed signal

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) — closed signal from January 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GILD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$124.20 Published $136.62 Target $138.80 Window close $157.29 Peak
$121.00 – $125.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$124.20Published — price the day we called it
$136.62Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$157.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$138.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$157.29
peak on February 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+26.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$138.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
January 7, 2026 – April 7, 2026

The thesis — published January 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$136.62
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$121.00 – $125.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$124.20
published January 7, 2026
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Gilead is a relatively steady healthcare pick to help protect a portfolio if markets get rough. The company announced a research deal with OncoNano about a drug-delivery method that could bring future payments. Investors are also watching its cancer drug programs such as TIGIT. The plan here is to buy on small price drops in a big, liquid company rather than chase fast gains.

Primary drivers

  • New collaboration could add future drug possibilities
  • Cancer programs may draw investor attention to the stock
  • Seen as more stable if investors get nervous
  • Buying dips suits a steady, cautious approach

How it played out

GILD: target reached in 19 days

Lyra published GILD at $124.20 on 2026-01-07 for a short-term window ending 2026-04-07. The thesis expected 10% growth and a target of $136.62. It pointed to a new OncoNano collaboration, cancer programs such as TIGIT, the stock's steadier healthcare profile if markets got rough, and a plan to buy small price drops rather than chase fast gains.

Inside the window, GILD rose past the target. It peaked at $157.29 on 2026-02-11, with a 26.6% peak gain, and reached the target in 19 days. It ended the window at $138.80, still above the target. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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