Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from January 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.50 Published $19.79 Target $18.97 Window close $24.87 Peak
$15.90 – $16.70Entry zone — fair-value band
$16.50Published — price the day we called it
$19.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 14 days.

Peak price
$24.87
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+50.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$18.97
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
14
Window
January 6, 2026 – April 6, 2026

The thesis — published January 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$15.90 – $16.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$16.50
published January 6, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGOLD completed deals that bring its Quebec mines together and investors have been buying more of the stock. If gold prices hold up, this stronger asset base and buying interest could make the stock more valuable over coming months. The price has been bouncy after a big rise, so buy only on a clear pullback and wait for signs the rebound is holding. Main risks are weaker gold and delays getting projects running.

Primary drivers

  • Completed deals in Quebec make the company's growth story clearer
  • Increased investor buying gives the stock more support
  • If gold stays strong, the company's profits and share value can rise
  • Short-term trade idea: buy on a steady bounce over 0-3 months

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 14 days

Lyra published IAG at 16.5 on 2026-01-06 with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to completed Quebec deals, increased investor buying, stronger gold prices, and a short-term trade setup based on a steady bounce over 0-3 months. It also noted weaker gold and project delays as risks.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 19.79 target in 14 days. It later peaked at 24.87 on 2026-03-02, up 50.8%. By 2026-04-06, it ended at 18.97. The thesis played out. The target was reached, and the peak moved well past it.

What happened during the window

On Jan. 19, IAMGOLD issued preliminary results, according to Investor's Business Daily. The report said the company reached the midpoint of its 2025 production forecast and reported fourth-quarter gold sales.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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