Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from January 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.35 Published $20.82 Target $21.84 Window close $32.04 Peak
$16.90 – $17.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.35Published — price the day we called it
$20.82Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$32.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$21.84Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 8 days.

Peak price
$32.04
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+84.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$21.84
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
8
Window
January 5, 2026 – April 5, 2026

The thesis — published January 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$20.82
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.90 – $17.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.35
published January 5, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic moves a lot because it follows silver prices closely. Silver has been firm while miners and funds have lagged, so AG could quickly catch up in the next few weeks to months if metal prices hold. That makes it a trade idea for a short-term bounce, but miners can reverse sharply, so keep positions small and take profits when price spikes.

Primary drivers

  • Rising silver can push miner stocks higher quickly over short periods
  • Miners catching up to the metal and funds can create sharp gains
  • Stocks that fell a lot can rebound fast when sentiment shifts
  • Big price swings mean smaller positions and quick profit-taking are prudent

How it played out

AG: target reached in 8 days

Lyra published AG at 17.35 on 2026-01-05 as a short-term bounce idea with 20% expected growth. The thesis pointed to firm silver prices, miners catching up to the metal and funds, sharp rebounds after large falls, and the need for smaller positions with quick profit-taking because the stock could swing hard.

Inside the window from 2026-01-05 to 2026-04-05, AG reached the 20.82 target in 8 days. It later peaked at 32.04 on 2026-02-27, up 84.7% at the peak. It ended the window at 21.84. The thesis played out and then went further than expected.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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