Track record · closed signal

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) — closed signal from January 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SVM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$8.86 Published $10.45 Target $10.99 Window close $14.00 Peak
$8.55 – $8.95Entry zone — fair-value band
$8.86Published — price the day we called it
$10.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$10.99Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 11 days.

Peak price
$14.00
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+58%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$10.99
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
11
Window
January 5, 2026 – April 5, 2026

The thesis — published January 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$10.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$8.55 – $8.95
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$8.86
published January 5, 2026
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Silvercorp is a small silver miner that tends to move a lot when silver prices change. Recent reports show record silver levels and renewed interest in the sector, so a quick rebound in the next few months is possible if people stay positive on silver. This is a short-term, tactical idea: the company's business does not strongly protect the stock, so use tight limits on losses and treat it like a trade rather than a long-term hold.

Primary drivers

  • Rising silver prices can push small miners up quickly
  • More attention and fund flows can spark short-term rallies
  • High volatility can make big gains and big losses fast
  • Weak business safety means strict risk controls are needed

How it played out

SVM: target reached in 11 days

Lyra published SVM at $8.86 on 2026-01-05 as a short-term silver-miner trade with 18% expected growth. The thesis pointed to rising silver prices, more attention and fund flows into the sector, high volatility, and weak business safety that called for strict risk controls.

Inside the window, SVM reached a peak of $14 on 2026-01-26, above the $10.45 target. The target was reached in 11 days. The peak gain was 58%, and the stock ended the window at $10.99. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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