Track record · closed signal

Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) — closed signal from January 3, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

QCOM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$168.00 – $175.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$172.98Published — price the day we called it

$197.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$184.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$126.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 47% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$184.45

peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+6.6%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$126.80

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 3, 2026 – April 3, 2026

The thesis — published January 3, 2026

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$197.20

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$168.00 – $175.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$172.98

published January 3, 2026

Confidence

64%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade around CES 2026 and early chip-sector strength. News could push the stock higher if AI PC and edge themes get attention, but the company's financial model looks weaker, and recent price action is unstable. Better to wait for signs the drop has stopped before buying; gains would likely come from news, and losses can happen fast.

Primary drivers

CES attention could reframe AI PC and edge growth story
Chip-sector early-year strength can lift cyclical names
If selling eases, a short rebound setup may form
Clear levels let you control losses in a volatile stock

How it played out

QCOM: target missed after a brief early rise

Lyra published QCOM at 172.98 on 2026-01-03 with 14% expected growth and a 197.20 target. The thesis pointed to CES attention around artificial intelligence PC and edge themes, early-year chip-sector strength, a possible rebound if selling eased, and clear risk levels in a volatile stock.

Inside the window, QCOM rose to 184.45 on 2026-01-06, a 6.6% peak gain. It stayed below the 197.20 target, so there was no day when the target was reached. By 2026-04-03, it ended at 126.80. The thesis only partially played out, with an early bounce but no target hit.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-05, Qualcomm announced Snapdragon X2 Plus at CES 2026, according to Windows Central. On 2026-02-04, Android Central reported Qualcomm's fiscal first-quarter results and its cautious second-quarter outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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