Track record · closed signal

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) — closed signal from January 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JNJ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$207.35 Published $226.01 Target $243.04 Window close $251.71 Peak
$203.00 – $208.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$207.35Published — price the day we called it
$226.01Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$251.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$243.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$251.71
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$243.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
January 3, 2026 – April 3, 2026

The thesis — published January 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$226.01
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$203.00 – $208.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$207.35
published January 3, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

JNJ looks like a defensive stock that recently fell more than usual, and analysts expect a temporary rebound. The company announced its dividend payable March 10, which makes it appealing to investors seeking steady income. Because the overall trend is still weak, any recovery could be gradual and should be confirmed before committing more money.

Primary drivers

  • Dividend news strengthens its role as a stable income stock
  • Recent heavy selling increases chance of a short-term rebound
  • Healthcare businesses tend to hold up better in turbulent markets
  • Defined entry range lets you place a tight risk limit

How it played out

JNJ: target reached in 25 days

Lyra published JNJ at $207.35 on 2026-01-03 with a short-term thesis for 9% growth. The thesis pointed to dividend news, recent heavy selling, the defensive profile of healthcare businesses, and a defined $203 to $208 entry range. It expected a rebound, but also said the broader trend was still weak and any recovery could be gradual.

Inside the window, JNJ reached a peak of $251.71 on 2026-03-02. That was a 21.4% gain, and the $226.01 target was reached in 25 days. The stock ended the window at $243.04 on 2026-04-03. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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